Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty

Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty

Herbert I. Weisberg

An unique account of willful lack of information and the way this precept pertains to glossy chance and statistical methods

Through a sequence of colourful tales approximately nice thinkers and the issues they selected to resolve, the writer strains the old evolution of likelihood and explains how statistical tools have helped to propel clinical learn. even though, the prior luck of records has trusted massive, planned simplifications amounting to willful lack of knowledge, and this very luck now threatens destiny advances in medication, the social sciences, and different fields. obstacles of present tools lead to common reversals of clinical findings and suggestions, to the consternation of either scientists and the lay public.

Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty exposes the fallacy of concerning likelihood because the complete degree of our uncertainty. The ebook explains how statistical method, even though drastically effective and influential during the last century, is coming near near a quandary. The deep and troubling divide among qualitative and quantitative modes of analysis, and among examine and perform, are reflections of this underlying challenge. the writer outlines a course towards the re-engineering of knowledge research to aid shut those gaps and speed up clinical discovery. 

Willful lack of understanding: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty offers crucial info and novel principles that are supposed to be of curiosity to somebody fascinated about the way forward for clinical examine. The booklet is principally pertinent for execs in data and comparable fields, together with working towards and learn clinicians, biomedical and social technology researchers, company leaders, and policy-makers.

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